Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 10.154038 11.952207 13.924762 16.242354 18.883551 21.792398 25.230822
2025-03-23 7.324120 9.799589 12.813104 16.716390 21.599285 27.464039 34.994457
2025-03-30 5.797930 8.596727 12.294997 17.456428 24.377145 33.228959 45.281083
2025-04-06 4.430705 7.208070 11.155636 17.034077 25.394849 36.663360 52.759733
2025-04-13 3.344237 5.940572 9.890983 16.133182 25.493488 38.705141 58.379947
2025-04-20 2.941375 5.613949 9.909925 17.024580 28.141694 44.398882 69.385930
2025-04-27 2.665791 5.429691 10.096299 18.151490 31.197233 50.864630 81.916677
2025-05-04 2.306964 5.022251 9.840785 18.509312 33.052992 55.639627 92.239538
2025-05-11 1.948355 4.538170 9.369583 18.424368 34.149679 59.283265 101.038018
2025-05-18 1.620624 4.042923 8.794240 18.066885 34.723135 62.094986 108.668574
2025-05-25 1.354514 3.616223 8.275325 17.729784 35.267073 64.852122 116.330218
2025-06-01 1.131088 3.232180 7.775655 17.353849 35.680805 67.383542 123.731422
2025-06-08 0.860988 2.685007 6.879642 16.153777 34.591454 67.477824 127.453592
2025-06-15 0.766435 2.555340 6.864694 16.735919 36.920407 73.733858 142.131062
2025-06-22 0.695223 2.469438 6.933301 17.499082 39.667765 80.927731 158.884740
2025-06-29 0.567450 2.184985 6.483392 17.080118 40.029034 83.809068 168.227187
2025-07-06 0.440758 1.858521 5.861425 16.177920 39.296158 84.578386 173.797382
2025-07-13 0.410439 1.833947 6.009329 17.071594 42.387393 92.779181 193.373843
2025-07-20 0.391092 1.841787 6.245093 18.201197 46.074775 102.347988 215.976431
2025-07-27 0.346553 1.743912 6.170435 18.559864 48.108267 108.800201 233.065615
2025-08-03 0.294838 1.599164 5.932682 18.474722 49.140586 113.318672 246.710208
2025-08-10 0.244190 1.437072 5.608241 18.116400 49.508677 116.502365 257.931265
2025-08-17 0.202327 1.293469 5.308798 17.778505 49.883128 119.707107 269.342604